Analyst Ratings January 29, 2026

Morgan Stanley Lifts McKesson Target to $966, Citing Strong Organic Growth and Segment Disclosures

Bank keeps Overweight rating as analysts debate fair value; dividend and divestiture plans noted

By Marcus Reed MCK
Morgan Stanley Lifts McKesson Target to $966, Citing Strong Organic Growth and Segment Disclosures
MCK

Morgan Stanley raised its price objective on McKesson to $966 from $916 while retaining an Overweight rating, citing updated disclosures for the company’s Oncology and Multispecialty businesses and a robust organic growth profile. Analysts’ targets vary from $760 to $1,000, and the shares are trading well below some valuations used by analysts. The firm’s new target is anchored to a 20.0x multiple on calendar 2027 EPS and the company’s planned Med-Surg divestiture.

Key Points

  • Morgan Stanley raised its McKesson price target to $966 from $916 and kept an Overweight rating; analysts’ targets span $760 to $1,000.
  • McKesson reported 13% year-over-year organic growth in fiscal second quarter 2026 and has long-term growth targets of 13-16%; revenue rose 17.23% over the last twelve months.
  • The new price target is based on a 20.0x multiple of calendar year 2027 EPS of $48.29; McKesson has a long history of dividend payments and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.82 payable April 1, 2026.

Overview

Morgan Stanley has increased its price target for McKesson to $966.00 from $916.00 and continues to carry an Overweight recommendation on the healthcare services company. The brokerage said recently refreshed disclosures for McKesson’s Oncology and Multispecialty businesses shed useful light on the revenue trajectory and profit dynamics in those segments.

Valuation and analyst range

According to InvestingPro data referenced in the disclosures, analysts’ price targets for McKesson span from $760 to $1,000. McKesson shares were trading at $826.62 at the time of the report, which InvestingPro’s fair value framework suggests is below certain valuation benchmarks.

Growth drivers

Morgan Stanley underscored that acquisitions such as FCS and PRISM have supported growth, but it flagged McKesson’s organic expansion as notable as well. The firm pointed to 13% year-over-year organic growth in the fiscal second quarter of 2026 and reiterated McKesson’s long-term growth targets of 13-16%.

InvestingPro data cited alongside the firm’s note shows McKesson’s revenue increased by 17.23% over the last twelve months. The platform also reports a PEG ratio of 0.39, which indicates the stock is trading at a relatively low price-to-earnings ratio when set against its growth rate.

Earnings and financial health

Morgan Stanley maintained its fiscal 2026 earnings-per-share estimate for McKesson at $38.60, closely aligned with the consensus estimate of $38.69. The company reported diluted EPS of $32.12 over the last twelve months, and InvestingPro’s aggregated metrics assign McKesson an overall financial health score of "GREAT."

Divestiture plan and valuation methodology

The bank’s revised price target incorporates McKesson’s announced intention to spin off its Med-Surg business via an initial public offering expected in the second half of calendar year 2027. Morgan Stanley derived the $966 target from applying a 20.0x multiple to calendar year 2027 EPS of $48.29.

Shareholder returns and recent company actions

InvestingPro’s records show McKesson has paid dividends for 32 consecutive years, with 18 years of consecutive increases. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.82 per share, payable on April 1, 2026.

Near-term headwinds and external analyst views

McKesson experienced a fourth-quarter earnings shortfall and issued guidance for 2026 that was lighter than some investors expected. Jefferies attributed that weaker guidance to persistent cost inflation pressures. Despite those results, TD Cowen retains a Buy rating with a $1,000 price target, signaling continued confidence among some analysts in the company’s growth initiatives and long-term targets.

Related analyst shifts in consumer staples

The note also addressed recent analyst moves at McCormick & Company following its financial disclosures. Bernstein SocGen reduced its price target for McCormick to $85, citing weak guidance for fiscal 2026 and forecasted organic sales growth that falls short of consensus. BofA Securities lowered its McCormick price target to $80, pointing to an organic sales miss in the fourth quarter tied to inventory drawdowns by a Mexican customer. Both Bernstein SocGen and BofA maintained positive ratings on McCormick.


Conclusion

Morgan Stanley’s target increase for McKesson rests on newly detailed segment disclosures, a mix of acquisition- and organic-driven growth, and a valuation anchored to calendar 2027 earnings. The stock remains below some analysts’ higher targets while other brokerages continue to voice confidence despite recent earnings and guidance challenges. Investors will likely watch the Med-Surg divestiture timetable and near-term cost pressures as they evaluate the long-term thesis.

Risks

  • Recent fourth-quarter earnings miss and lighter-than-expected 2026 guidance linked to persistent cost inflation pressures could weigh on near-term performance - impacts healthcare services and related markets.
  • The timing and outcome of the planned Med-Surg IPO, expected in the second half of calendar year 2027, introduce execution risk that could affect valuation realization - impacts healthcare services and capital markets.
  • Analyst divergence on valuation with targets ranging from $760 to $1,000 reflects uncertainty in near-term outlook and consensus estimates - impacts investor sentiment in healthcare equities.

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