Analyst Ratings January 23, 2026

Mizuho Adjusts Nextpower Price Target to $81, Citing Enhanced Credit Profile

Despite raised valuation, stock remains overvalued against current market prices

By Nina Shah NXT
Mizuho Adjusts Nextpower Price Target to $81, Citing Enhanced Credit Profile
NXT

Mizuho has raised its price objective for Nextpower Inc. from $76.00 to $81.00, keeping a Neutral stance on shares that currently trade above this target. The adjustment reflects better credit quality and diversification within the company. Analysts note Nextpower’s solid performance in profitability and cautious management approach, setting expectations for strong fiscal results. However, concerns about valuation levels and competitive pressures remain.

Key Points

  • Mizuho has raised Nextpower's price target from $76 to $81, retaining a Neutral rating, with the stock currently trading above this level.
  • Nextpower demonstrates consistent profitability with a 33.24% gross profit margin and a diluted EPS of $3.85 over the past 12 months.
  • The company faces expectations of flat demand and increased competition leading to average selling price pressures in tracker products during early 2026.

Mizuho Securities recently updated its target price for Nextpower Inc. (NASDAQ:NXT) to $81.00, up from a previous $76.00, while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. This price target is notably below the current trading price, which stands around $105.18, with analyst forecasts ranging between $52 and $128. Valuation metrics calculated by InvestingPro indicate that Nextpower is presently trading above its assessed fair value.

The rationale behind Mizuho's price target increase centers on expected fiscal third-quarter earnings surpassing consensus projections, along with the company's trajectory aligning toward the upper bounds of its fiscal 2026 guidance. Mizuho credits Nextpower's management for a conservative approach combined with a history of consistent execution, contributing to sustained profitability. Over the trailing twelve months, Nextpower has recorded a diluted earnings per share of $3.85 and maintained a gross profit margin near 33.24%, underscoring operational efficiency.

Looking ahead, Mizuho anticipates a book-to-bill ratio approximating 1.0 and forecasts demand to be broadly flat over the coming two-year period. Market participants are expected to focus on new order bookings and the backlog as significant indicators for demand in fiscal years 2027 and 2028. Additionally, the firm adjusted its sales model in accordance with information provided at Nextpower's November Analyst Day, specifically revising the sales mix between tracker and non-tracker products. This update reflects a forecast of greater price reduction pressure on tracker goods in the first half of 2026, signaling an environment of intensified competition.

The uplift in Mizuho's price target by about 7% is attributed primarily to improved credit quality and portfolio diversification. Despite this, the Neutral rating persists, driven by concerns over valuation and potential uncertainties regarding the early market adoption of non-tracker products.

Meanwhile, other analysts have also revised their outlooks on Nextpower. TD Cowen raised their price target to $88, motivated by robust quarterly results and growth in backlog, particularly noting expanded revenue streams in the U.S. and European markets. They highlight that despite some tariff-related headwinds, Nextpower sustains strong gross margins, assisted by manufacturing credits under the Inflation Reduction Act.

Similarly, RBC Capital has elevated its price target to $96, recognizing Nextpower's transition toward being a comprehensive solutions provider, enabling the capture of a larger share of customer spend beyond hardware. BofA Securities followed, increasing its price target to $102, maintaining a Buy rating based on the company's broadening platform and anticipated more persistent earnings. UBS kept its price target steady at $125, emphasizing growth opportunities in adjacent product categories and a promising expansion into higher-margin inverter segments.

Additionally, NextGen Digital Platforms Inc. recently completed the initial tranche of a private placement, raising $826,000 through units comprising common shares and purchase warrants. Each warrant confers the right to acquire an additional share under specified conditions.

Risks

  • Nextpower's current stock price significantly exceeds its fair value estimate, raising valuation risk for investors.
  • Uncertainty persists regarding the early market traction of non-tracker products, which may affect revenue diversification and growth.
  • Competitive pressures, especially on tracker product pricing in the near term, could compress margins and impact earnings visibility.

More from Analyst Ratings

Stifel trims Eagle Materials price target to $232 as housing softness weighs on wallboard results Feb 2, 2026 UBS Sticks With Buy on McDonald’s Ahead of Q4 Results, Flags 2026 Upside Feb 2, 2026 Truist Raises Caterpillar Target to $786 After Record Backlog, Analysts Follow Suit Feb 2, 2026 UBS Sticks With Buy on Yum! Brands Ahead of Q4 Results, Flags Marketing Impact at Pizza Hut Feb 2, 2026 Truist Lifts Minerals Technologies Price Target to $89, Cites Normalizing H&PC Growth Feb 2, 2026