Analyst Ratings January 29, 2026

KeyBanc Cuts ServiceNow Price Target to $115 Amid Growth Concerns

Analyst keeps Underweight rating as investors focus on slowing subscription revenue outlook despite buyback and positive consensus from some peers

By Nina Shah NOW
KeyBanc Cuts ServiceNow Price Target to $115 Amid Growth Concerns
NOW

KeyBanc reduced its 12-month price target for ServiceNow (NOW) to $115.00 from $155.00 and kept an Underweight rating, citing a 2026 organic subscription revenue forecast that the firm deems insufficient to calm market worries. ServiceNow’s shares have slid toward their 52-week low, falling materially over recent months, and dropped further in after-hours trading following KeyBanc’s update. Other analysts remain divided, with several maintaining Buy or Outperform stances and differing price targets.

Key Points

  • KeyBanc cut ServiceNow’s price target from $155.00 to $115.00 and kept an Underweight rating.
  • ServiceNow's 2026 organic subscription revenue guidance of 18.5-19.0% signals a slowdown from 21.05% growth over the past 12 months, a focus point for investors.
  • Analyst views are mixed - several firms maintain Buy or Outperform ratings at varying price targets, while others reduced targets; the software and enterprise IT sectors are directly impacted.

KeyBanc has lowered its price target on ServiceNow (NYSE: NOW) to $115.00 from $155.00 while retaining an Underweight rating on the enterprise software vendor. The move came after the company outlined its 2026 revenue trajectory, and market reaction drove shares lower into the after-hours session.

ServiceNow’s stock is trading near its 52-week low, having declined 34.75% over the past six months, according to InvestingPro data. The KeyBanc revision was prompted by ServiceNow’s guidance for 2026, which projects organic subscription revenue growth of 18.5-19.0% - a pace that KeyBanc analyst Jackson Ader said does not sufficiently address investor concerns. That forecast is a deceleration from ServiceNow’s current revenue growth of 21.05% over the last twelve months.

Following KeyBanc’s announcement, ServiceNow shares fell 6.85% in after-hours trading, the report said. KeyBanc noted that ServiceNow management has taken steps intended to counter negative narratives - including disputing the so-called "Death of SaaS" thesis, addressing worries about seat compression, and highlighting recent M&A activity - but investors appeared to place greater emphasis on the topline growth figures.

ServiceNow also unveiled a new share repurchase authorization, yet that measure did not fully offset the market’s reaction to the company’s growth outlook, according to KeyBanc’s summary. Despite the share price decline, InvestingPro analysis indicates ServiceNow may be undervalued at current levels and shows an analyst consensus at 1.39, which InvestingPro classifies as Strong Buy. Additional research and ProTips are available in the InvestingPro Pro Research Report for ServiceNow.


In other recent company developments, ServiceNow reported a 20% organic constant currency increase in its current remaining performance obligation, topping its 19% guidance. The company’s 2026 outlook was characterized as positive by management, with a midpoint forecast of 18.75% organic constant currency subscription revenue growth that Management said exceeded consensus estimates.

Analyst responses to ServiceNow’s results and guidance have been mixed. BTIG has maintained a Buy rating with a $200 price target. Citizens analyst Patrick Walravens reiterated a Market Outperform rating and a $260 price target. Jefferies reiterated a Buy rating, citing strong subscription revenue performance. By contrast, BMO Capital trimmed its price target to $170, describing the fourth quarter as "solid if unspectacular." JPMorgan adjusted its price target to $195 while maintaining an Overweight rating. Collectively, these assessments reflect differing views among sell-side firms as ServiceNow continues shifting toward a multi-product platform and expanding its workflow management capabilities.

Key takeaways include the market’s sensitivity to subscription revenue growth metrics and a divergence in analyst sentiment despite corporate actions intended to bolster investor confidence. The combination of slowed guidance relative to recent growth rates and a new buyback authorization has produced a nuanced market response rather than a clear positive repricing.

Risks

  • Slowing subscription revenue growth could weigh on ServiceNow's stock performance and investor sentiment - affecting the software and enterprise technology sectors.
  • Market emphasis on growth metrics may limit the effectiveness of corporate actions such as share repurchases in restoring investor confidence - relevant to equity markets and corporate finance decisions.
  • Divergent analyst assessments introduce uncertainty for investors making valuation and allocation decisions within the technology and SaaS investment landscape.

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