Analyst Ratings January 23, 2026

Kepler Cheuvreux Adjusts ProSiebenSat.1 Media Stock Rating to Hold Amid Valuation Reassessment

German Media Company’s Shares Approach Fundamental Value Despite Lingering Operational Concerns

By Sofia Navarro
Kepler Cheuvreux Adjusts ProSiebenSat.1 Media Stock Rating to Hold Amid Valuation Reassessment

Kepler Cheuvreux has shifted its investment stance on ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE from a Reduce to a Hold rating, maintaining a price target of EUR 5.00. This change reflects the narrowing gap between the company’s share price and its perceived fundamental value, despite ongoing skepticism regarding cost-saving potentials and strategic approaches within the firm.

Key Points

  • Kepler Cheuvreux upgrades ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE’s rating from Reduce to Hold, maintaining a EUR 5.00 price target.
  • ProSiebenSat.1’s stock price has dropped 33% in six months, nearing its 52-week low, but now converges with the firm's fundamental valuation.
  • Skepticism remains regarding potential further cost synergies and the viability of the company’s cross-border FTA business model as competitor RTL moves away from it.

Kepler Cheuvreux has revised its rating on ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE (ETR:PSM) (OTC:PBSFY), moving from Reduce to Hold and sustaining a price target of EUR 5.00. The share price currently stands at $1.36, representing a 33% decline over the past six months and lingering close to the 52-week low of $1.22.

The upgrade emerges in the context of continued underperformance observed in ProSiebenSat.1's stock following the closure of the MFE bid window. Analysts from Kepler Cheuvreux indicate that the current market price is aligning more closely with their fundamental valuation of the company. Analysis from InvestingPro corroborates a slight undervaluation of the stock based on its Fair Value assessment.

Conor O’Shea, an analyst at Kepler Cheuvreux, expressed reservations about the prospect of additional synergies achievable by the firm, particularly citing years of cost-cutting initiatives led by former CEO Bert Habets. Furthermore, questions have been raised over the effectiveness of ProSiebenSat.1's cross-border Free Television Advertising (FTA) model, especially as a competitor, RTL, appears to be moving away from this strategy.

Despite these reservations, the narrowing of the price-to-fundamental value gap prompted the rating revision to Hold. Investors are advised to continue monitoring operational developments and market dynamics affecting ProSiebenSat.1's valuation and performance.

Risks

  • Limited scope for additional cost-cutting synergies following previous extensive measures, which may impact profitability and operational efficiency.
  • Questionable sustainability of the cross-border FTA model amid market shifts, potentially affecting revenue streams.
  • Continued stock price volatility as ProSiebenSat.1's valuation aligns with fundamental assessments, but operational uncertainties persist.

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