Analyst Ratings January 23, 2026

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Adjusts Price Target on Equity Bancshares Amid Solid Earnings Results

Analyst maintains Market Perform rating following strong EPS beat and updated management guidance

By Derek Hwang EQBK
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Adjusts Price Target on Equity Bancshares Amid Solid Earnings Results
EQBK

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW) has increased the price target for Equity Bancshares (NYSE: EQBK) from $47.00 to $49.00 while keeping its Market Perform rating. This decision follows Equity Bancshares' notable earnings performance with EPS surpassing projections despite marginally lower pre-provision net revenue. The institution demonstrated robust revenue growth driven by improved margins and diverse fee income, balanced by elevated expenses due to nonrecurring items. Loan originations were strong but were offset by elevated payoffs, contributing to a decrease in loan balances. Additionally, an established board member has announced her retirement, marking forthcoming leadership changes.

Key Points

  • Keefe, Bruyette & Woods raised Equity Bancshares' price target to $49.00, maintaining a Market Perform rating following an earnings beat.
  • Equity Bancshares reported operating earnings of $1.20 per share, surpassing expectations despite slightly lower pre-provision net revenue, supported by stronger revenues and lower provisions and taxes.
  • The bank has sustained dividend growth for five consecutive years, currently yielding 1.47% with a 20% growth rate over the past year, alongside strong deposit growth but a decline in loan balances due to elevated payoffs.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods has revised its target price for Equity Bancshares, setting it at $49.00, an upward adjustment from the previous level of $47.00, while reaffirming its Market Perform rating on the shares. This update follows the release of the bank's recent financial results, which presented operating earnings of $1.20 per share, exceeding the expectations laid out by analysts, even though the pre-provision net revenue (PPNR) came in slightly below anticipated figures.

The bank's valuation currently reflects a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 48.8, a metric that InvestingPro classifies as a relatively high earnings multiple. The underlying performance showed positive momentum with revenue growth fueled by enhanced margins and a broad spectrum of fee income sources. These gains were somewhat tempered by increased expenses linked to certain nonrecurring items. Moreover, the earnings outperformance was further bolstered by a reduction in the bank's provision expenses as well as a lower effective tax rate.

Equity Bancshares has a record of consistently enhancing shareholder return through dividends, having raised its payout for five consecutive years. The current dividend yield stands at 1.47%, reflecting a strong dividend growth rate of 20% over the past twelve months, signaling management's commitment to shareholder value.

Loan origination activity demonstrated considerable strength; however, this was balanced by elevated loan payoffs, culminating in a 7% linked-quarter annualized decrease in the bank’s loan portfolio. In parallel, deposit balances have expanded by 3% on an annualized basis, as solid core deposit growth more than offset reductions in brokered certificates of deposit (CDs).

Following these developments, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods has opted to maintain its earnings projections for fiscal years 2026 and 2027, after revising its financial model based on updated guidance provided by Equity Bancshares' management team.

In related news, the company announced its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025, surpassing analyst EPS estimates by a notable margin. The reported earnings per share stood at $1.15 against the anticipated $0.88, yielding a 30.68% positive surprise. Revenue, meanwhile, slightly missed expectations, registering $73.03 million compared to the projected $75.03 million.

On the governance front, Randee R. Koger, a long-serving director who has contributed to Equity Bancshares since 2003, disclosed her decision to retire from the board following the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. She will continue her responsibilities until that date, with her departure highlighting forthcoming changes in the company's board composition as it navigates ongoing operational and strategic evaluation by market analysts.

Risks

  • The elevated price-to-earnings ratio of 48.8 indicates high market valuation, which could affect future stock performance if earnings do not keep pace.
  • A decline in loan balances by 7% linked-quarter annualized due to elevated payoffs may impact the bank's interest income and growth trajectory.
  • Upcoming retirement of a long-tenured board member could introduce governance changes and uncertainty in company leadership during a period of strategic evaluations.

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