Analyst Ratings January 28, 2026

Jefferies Lifts Nextpower Target to $122 After Strong Q3 Results; Peers Also Raise Outlooks

Company posts upside revenue and EBITDA, raises FY26 guidance and unveils $500M buyback as bookings top $5B

By Leila Farooq NXT
Jefferies Lifts Nextpower Target to $122 After Strong Q3 Results; Peers Also Raise Outlooks
NXT

Jefferies increased its price target on Nextpower (NXT) to $122 from $107 and kept a Buy rating after the company reported fiscal third-quarter results that beat expectations on revenue and EBITDA. Management cited stronger demand from the U.S. market. Nextpower raised fiscal 2026 guidance by roughly 3%, announced a $500 million share repurchase plan and reported record bookings with a backlog above $5 billion that includes its share of an approximately 2.3GW Saudi joint venture. Several other major banks also raised targets or upgraded ratings following the results.

Key Points

  • Jefferies increased its Nextpower price target to $122 from $107 and kept a Buy rating following stronger-than-expected fiscal Q3 results.
  • Nextpower reported $909 million in revenue (12% ahead of consensus) and $214 million in EBITDA (19% above expectations), and management cited increased U.S. demand as a driver.
  • The company raised fiscal 2026 guidance by about 3%, announced a $500 million share buyback program over three years, and reported record bookings with a backlog exceeding $5 billion, including its share of an approximately 2.3GW Saudi joint venture.

Jefferies has raised its price objective on Nextpower (NASDAQ:NXT) to $122.00 from $107.00 while maintaining a Buy rating, responding to the company's fiscal third-quarter performance that outpaced market expectations.

Nextpower reported revenue of $909 million, which exceeded consensus estimates by 12%. EBITDA came in at $214 million, beating forecasts by 19%. Company management attributed the stronger-than-expected outcomes in part to increased demand pull from the United States.

Alongside the quarterly results, Nextpower adjusted its fiscal 2026 guidance upward by roughly 3% and introduced a new share repurchase program totaling $500 million. The company said the buyback equates to about 3% of its market capitalization and will be executed over a three-year period.

Order momentum was also highlighted. Nextpower disclosed record bookings and a backlog that now tops $5 billion. That backlog figure includes the company's proportionate share of an approximately 2.3GW joint venture in Saudi Arabia.

Jefferies analyst Julian Dumoulin-Smith pointed to these operational and financial positives in his research note as the rationale for the higher target.


Additional analyst moves and metrics

Market reactions from other firms followed the results. JPMorgan raised its price target for Nextpower to $125 and maintained an Overweight rating, citing the company’s strong U.S. performance and record bookings in Europe. UBS lifted its target to $140, attributing the increase to Nextpower’s leadership position in solar trackers and durable customer relationships. KeyBanc Capital Markets upgraded the stock to Overweight and set a $142 price target, referencing the company’s multi-year growth drivers and expansion beyond traditional solar tracker offerings.

On an earnings-per-share basis, Nextpower reported $1.10 for the fiscal third quarter, above the forecasted $0.70. The company’s revenue outpaced estimates as well, with the $909 million result compared with an anticipated $745.13 million.


Implications for capital allocation and growth

The simultaneous combination of stronger operating results, a modestly raised guidance trajectory, and a sizable buyback program signals a focus on balancing growth with shareholder returns. The record backlog, which incorporates the Saudi joint venture exposure, underpins near-term demand visibility while the analyst target revisions reflect growing confidence among sell-side firms.

While the news flow is largely favorable, investors and market participants will be watching execution on the buyback timetable, delivery on the incremental guidance, and how much of the backlog converts to revenue over coming quarters.

Risks

  • Execution risk on the $500 million buyback program and the timing of repurchases could affect near-term capital allocation - impacts investor returns and equity markets.
  • Conversion risk from backlog to revenue: while bookings exceed $5 billion, the pace at which this backlog turns into recognized revenue will influence future results - impacts the clean energy and industrial equipment sectors.
  • Guidance sensitivity: the roughly 3% upward revision to fiscal 2026 guidance leaves limited margin for further downside surprises, making upcoming quarters important for market expectations - impacts equity valuations and analyst estimates.

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