Analyst Ratings February 5, 2026

Evercore Lifts Allegiant Travel Target to $125 After Strong Q4 Results and Upbeat Guidance

Firm keeps Outperform rating as revenue beat, cost improvements and guidance lift earnings forecasts for 2026-27

By Jordan Park ALGT
Evercore Lifts Allegiant Travel Target to $125 After Strong Q4 Results and Upbeat Guidance
ALGT

Evercore ISI increased its price target on Allegiant Travel Company to $125 from $120 while maintaining an Outperform rating after the carrier reported stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter 2025 results and issued robust 2026 guidance. Analysts revised 2026-27 EPS forecasts higher amid signs of unit revenue strength and capacity rationalization, though InvestingPro flags the stock trading above its Fair Value.

Key Points

  • Evercore ISI raised its price target on Allegiant to $125 from $120 and maintained an Outperform rating.
  • Allegiant’s Q4 2025 EPS was $2.72, above Evercore’s estimate of $1.78 and above a separate projection of $2.01; Q4 revenue was $656.2 million versus an expected $646.1 million.
  • Company provided Q1 2026 guidance of $2.50-3.50 per share and an initial full-year 2026 view of more than $8.00 per share; Evercore raised FY2026 and FY2027 EPS estimates to $8.00 and $10.50.

Evercore ISI has raised its price objective for Allegiant Travel Company (NASDAQ:ALGT) to $125.00 from $120.00 and kept an Outperform rating on the stock following the company’s fourth-quarter 2025 results and forward guidance.

Allegiant shares were trading at $99.86, marginally below a 52-week high of $100.46, after the stock appreciated 104.34% over the past six months. The recent performance precedes Evercore’s updated target and reflects investor response to the company’s quarterly financials and outlook.

On the bottom line, Allegiant reported fourth-quarter 2025 earnings per share of $2.72. That result topped Evercore’s internal estimate of $1.78. The quarter was supported by total revenue growth of 8%, ahead of Evercore’s 5% forecast, and a 3% decline in non-fuel unit costs compared with expectations for flat non-fuel unit costs.

The company’s results also exceeded another published projection for the quarter: earnings per share of $2.72 was noted as significantly above a projected $2.01. Revenue for the quarter was reported at $656.2 million, compared with an anticipated $646.1 million, underscoring a modest revenue beat alongside the earnings outperformance.

Looking forward, Allegiant issued first-quarter 2026 guidance of $2.50 to $3.50 per share. That guidance range is higher than Evercore’s prior estimate of $2.41 and above the Street consensus of $2.29. The company additionally provided initial full-year 2026 guidance of more than $8.00 per share.

Responding to the company disclosures and dynamics, Evercore raised its standalone earnings-per-share estimates to $8.00 for fiscal 2026 and $10.50 for fiscal 2027, up from previous forecasts of $7.30 and $10.00, respectively. The firm highlighted that unit revenue growth is tracking ahead of its prior assumptions in early 2026. Evercore cited capacity rationalization in the first half of the year as a supporting factor and described SNCY as "substantially accretive" to Allegiant’s standalone outlook for 2027.

Independent analysis from InvestingPro noted that Allegiant is trading above its Fair Value and that six analysts have increased their earnings estimates for the near term. The service’s assessment and the analyst revisions reflect a broader market reassessment following the quarterly beat and management’s guidance.

Taken together, the results, guidance and analyst updates explain Evercore’s decision to lift its price target and to raise its fiscal 2026-27 EPS projections. The company’s trajectory through early 2026, according to Evercore, appears to be driven by a combination of stronger unit revenues, deliberate capacity adjustments and anticipated benefits from SNCY in 2027.


Note: The facts and figures presented above are drawn from Allegiant Travel Company’s reported results and Evercore ISI’s published commentary.

Risks

  • InvestingPro indicates Allegiant is trading above its Fair Value, introducing valuation risk for investors - impacts equities and financial markets.
  • Unit revenue trends and capacity rationalization are cited as drivers; if unit revenue momentum weakens, earnings and stock performance could be affected - impacts the airline and travel sectors.
  • Forecasts include the impact of SNCY on 2027 results; the degree to which SNCY proves accretive remains a forward-looking assumption cited by Evercore, creating execution risk - impacts corporate strategy and airline industry projections.

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