Analyst Ratings January 29, 2026

DA Davidson Sticks With Buy on Modine, Weighs Climate and Data Center Strengths Ahead of Q3 Results

Analyst maintains $200 target as channel checks show mixed vehicle demand; strategic divestiture and credit-line boost underscore balance-sheet flexibility

By Nina Shah MOD THRM
DA Davidson Sticks With Buy on Modine, Weighs Climate and Data Center Strengths Ahead of Q3 Results
MOD THRM

DA Davidson has reaffirmed its Buy rating on Modine Manufacturing (NYSE:MOD) and kept a $200 price target ahead of the company’s fiscal third-quarter 2026 earnings report set for February 4. The firm’s note follows quarterly channel checks with North American contacts tied to major overhead and commercial vehicle customers and highlights the company’s Climate Solutions profitability and Data Center outlook as central to its positive stance.

Key Points

  • DA Davidson reaffirmed a Buy rating and $200 price target on Modine ahead of its fiscal Q3 2026 report, with the stock trading at $172.28, implying about 16% upside to the target.
  • Quarterly channel checks showed mixed demand: sequential production acceleration in construction and mid-size agriculture equipment but an ongoing downturn in Class VIII vehicles.
  • Modine’s Climate Solutions profitability and Data Center outlook are primary drivers cited for the positive rating; recent corporate actions include a ~ $1 billion merger of Performance Technologies with Gentherm and a $150 million increase to the revolving credit facility.

DA Davidson has reiterated a Buy recommendation and a $200.00 price objective on Modine Manufacturing (NYSE:MOD) as the company prepares to release fiscal third-quarter 2026 results on February 4. At the time of the research note, Modine shares traded at $172.28, which DA Davidson estimates represents roughly a 16% upside to its target, though InvestingPro data flags the stock as potentially trading above its Fair Value.

The research team said it conducted routine quarterly channel checks with North American sources tied to key overhead and commercial vehicle customers to gauge market activity ahead of the earnings announcement. Those outreach efforts revealed a mix of dynamics across end markets.

On the positive side, several original equipment manufacturers are reporting sequential acceleration in production for construction equipment and mid-size agricultural products. Conversely, the firm noted a continuing downturn in Class VIII vehicle production, a negative signal for Modine’s exposure to that segment.

Despite the divergent signals across product lines, Modine’s stock performance has been notable, with a price gain of 31% over the past six months and almost 50% over the last year. DA Davidson said its price target framework and Modine’s performance-target guidance remain "appropriately de-risked" in light of the mixed indicators across the company’s businesses.

Central to DA Davidson’s positive view are two areas of Modine’s business: the profitability of its Climate Solutions segment and the outlook for its Data Center products. The firm highlights these as principal supports for maintaining the Buy rating and the $200 target. Modine’s reported revenue growth of 8.1% and a beta of 1.7 were cited in the note; the beta indicates the stock’s relatively higher volatility.

Investors interested in deeper context around the upcoming report can consult InvestingPro offerings, which the research note referenced as providing comprehensive earnings previews and more than a dozen additional ProTips.


In related corporate activity, Modine and Gentherm Inc. announced a significant merger involving Modine’s Performance Technologies business. The deal is valued at approximately $1 billion and will leave Modine shareholders with about 40% ownership of the combined company, while Gentherm shareholders will hold roughly 60%.

Modine has also amended its credit facilities, increasing its revolving credit line by $150 million to a total of $550 million, with JPMorgan Chase Bank serving as administrative agent. The amendment provides flexibility for up to $250 million of future incremental revolving commitments and term loans.

DA Davidson’s reiteration of a Buy rating followed public comments by NVIDIA’s CEO regarding chip cooling needs, which the research firm cited as relevant context for Modine’s cooling-related businesses. Separately, UBS initiated coverage on Modine with a Buy rating and set a $173 price target, likewise emphasizing the company’s cooling systems franchise in its view.

On the personnel front, Modine said Eric S. McGinnis, President of Climate Solutions, will retire effective June 30, 2026. The company noted McGinnis will stay in his role through the transition period to help ensure continuity.


This report focuses on metrics and corporate developments explicitly disclosed by Modine and the covering firms. Where information is limited in the public notes, the analysis reflects those same constraints rather than extrapolating beyond the stated facts.

Risks

  • Segment-level demand divergence - The persistent downturn in Class VIII vehicles could weigh on results for Modine’s commercial vehicle-exposed businesses, affecting industrial and transportation sectors.
  • Valuation vs. fair value - InvestingPro’s data suggests the stock may be trading above its Fair Value, presenting market-risk considerations for equity investors.
  • Leadership transition - The announced retirement of the Climate Solutions president, effective June 30, 2026, introduces execution and succession risk for the Climate Solutions segment and related markets.

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