Analyst Ratings February 3, 2026

DA Davidson Lowers Palantir Target to $180, Cites Valuation Despite Strong AI-Driven Revenue

Analyst keeps Neutral rating even as Palantir posts robust Q4 2025 results and extensive revenue gains tied to U.S. demand for AI

By Sofia Navarro PLTR
DA Davidson Lowers Palantir Target to $180, Cites Valuation Despite Strong AI-Driven Revenue
PLTR

DA Davidson cut its price target for Palantir Technologies Inc. to $180 from $215 while leaving its rating at Neutral, citing lofty valuation multiples despite the company’s strong fourth-quarter 2025 performance and rapid revenue expansion tied to U.S. AI demand. The firm bases the new target on a high multiple of its 2026 free cash flow estimate, and flagged Palantir’s stock as trading at an unusually large premium to peers.

Key Points

  • DA Davidson cut its Palantir price target to $180 from $215 and kept a Neutral rating, citing valuation as the core concern.
  • Palantir’s Q4 2025 results showed $1.407 billion in revenue and EPS of $0.25, with 47.23% year-over-year revenue growth and an 80.81% gross profit margin; U.S. demand for AI solutions was cited as a growth driver.
  • Analyst reactions vary - Piper Sandler and Wedbush raised or maintained bullish targets of $230; Mizuho lowered its target to $195 despite calling results "fantastic," while Baird upgraded to Outperform with a $200 target.

DA Davidson has reduced its 12-month price target on Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:PLTR) to $180.00 from $215.00 and retained a Neutral rating on the shares.

The analyst move follows Palantir’s fourth-quarter 2025 results, which showed accelerating top-line growth driven by strong U.S. demand for AI solutions. Palantir reported revenue of $1.407 billion for Q4 2025, surpassing expectations, and posted earnings per share of $0.25 versus a forecasted $0.23.

Across the last twelve months the company recorded 47.23% revenue growth and delivered an 80.81% gross profit margin, metrics DA Davidson highlighted while evaluating the company’s outlook. The firm termed Palantir a strong engine for enterprise AI adoption and praised its pace of innovation on the platform, writing that the company "remains well positioned to drive enterprise AI adoption and value as it maintains a rapid pace of innovation on the platform," and calling it "the best story in all of software."

Despite those operational strengths, DA Davidson pointed to valuation as the primary reason for keeping its Neutral stance. The firm noted that Palantir’s after-hours share price was trading at about 93 times calendar year 2026 revenue, a level it described as "an unprecedented premium to any peer." The updated $180 target reflects roughly 113 times DA Davidson’s calendar year 2026 free cash flow estimate for Palantir.


Other broker reactions to Palantir’s Q4 results illustrated a range of views among analysts. Piper Sandler raised its price target to $230, citing the company’s strong AI-related growth and the outsized fourth-quarter performance. Wedbush also kept a positive stance, maintaining an Outperform rating with a $230 price target and saying the company exceeded expectations across metrics.

At the same time, several firms expressed concerns about the valuation attached to Palantir’s shares. Mizuho reduced its price target to $195, acknowledging what it called "fantastic" results but trimming its view because of valuation considerations. Baird upgraded the stock from Neutral to Outperform and set a $200 price target, highlighting Palantir’s AI momentum and its free cash flow potential.

DA Davidson’s adjustment underscores the tension between Palantir’s operational momentum and the premium investors are paying for that progress. While revenue and margin figures impressed analysts, the valuation metrics cited by DA Davidson and other firms remain central to how Wall Street is positioning the stock.

Market participants and portfolio managers will likely weigh Palantir’s expanding revenue base and high gross margin against the stretched multiples noted by DA Davidson and others as they set their allocation and risk parameters.


Contextual note - DA Davidson’s commentary places emphasis on both the company’s ability to capture enterprise AI demand and the caution warranted by current valuation levels. The differing price targets and recommendations from multiple research firms reflect a mixture of optimism about Palantir’s growth trajectory and concern about the premium the market is assigning to that growth.

Risks

  • Valuation risk - Palantir trades at roughly 93 times calendar year 2026 revenue and DA Davidson bases its $180 target on about 113 times its 2026 free cash flow estimate, indicating market pricing may be stretched relative to peers - this affects investor allocation decisions in the technology and software sectors.
  • Market sensitivity to expectations - Even with strong quarterly results and rapid revenue gains, the stock’s high multiples leave it vulnerable to shifts in sentiment among institutional and sell-side analysts, impacting equities and technology sector flows.
  • Analyst divergence - Wide variation in price targets and ratings among brokerages introduces uncertainty for investors assessing comparative value and risk, with implications for portfolio managers focused on growth and margin sustainability in enterprise software and AI.

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