Analyst Ratings February 2, 2026

Citizens Sticks with Market Outperform on LendingClub After Q4 Results; $23 Price Target Retained

Analyst frames the post-earnings sell-off as a buying opportunity while models are updated after management discussions

By Jordan Park LC
Citizens Sticks with Market Outperform on LendingClub After Q4 Results; $23 Price Target Retained
LC

Citizens has reaffirmed its Market Outperform rating and $23.00 price target on LendingClub (NYSE: LC) after the company's fourth-quarter results and 2026 guidance. The brokerage highlighted what it sees as a misreading by some investors of how LendingClub would mark its loan portfolio, and called the ensuing share decline an attractive entry point. Piper Sandler also maintained a positive stance with an Overweight rating and the same $23.00 target following the results.

Key Points

  • Citizens reiterated its Market Outperform rating on LendingClub and maintained a $23.00 price target following Q4 results and 2026 guidance.
  • LendingClub reported Q4 2025 EPS of $0.35 versus an expected $0.34, and revenue of $266.5 million versus an expected $262.64 million.
  • Piper Sandler also kept an Overweight rating and a $23.00 price target; Citizens cited stable credit, accelerating originations, product expansion, and stronger marketplace loan demand as supporting factors.

Citizens has maintained a Market Outperform rating on LendingClub (NYSE: LC) and kept a $23.00 price target, according to a recent analyst note. The firm said it is retaining a positive stance on the financial technology company in the wake of LendingClub's fourth-quarter results and the 2026 guidance the company issued on Wednesday.

Shares of LendingClub moved sharply following the earnings release, initially falling 16% on Thursday and later reclaiming about 3% of that decline, the note said. Citizens analyst David Scharf suggested some of the downside reflected investor assumptions about the fair value mark LendingClub would apply to its loan book. Specifically, Scharf indicated that some market participants were expecting the company to mark its portfolio at a significant premium to par, which was not realized.

Citizens described the recent share-price weakness as "a particularly attractive buying opportunity for investors." The firm added that it is updating its financial model to incorporate the quarter's results along with additional information obtained during follow-up discussions with LendingClub management.

In its fourth-quarter 2025 report, LendingClub posted earnings per share of $0.35, narrowly exceeding the analyst consensus expectation of $0.34. Revenue for the quarter came in at $266.5 million, above the forecasted $262.64 million. While those topline and EPS figures beat the specific forecasts cited, the company nonetheless missed estimates compiled by Piper Sandler and by consensus due primarily to higher expenses, a shortfall that was partially offset by stronger-than-expected revenue.

Following the results, Piper Sandler reiterated an Overweight rating and set a $23.00 price target on LendingClub. Citizens likewise kept its Market Outperform rating and $23.00 target, pointing to what it characterized as a stable credit outlook, accelerating originations, expansions in product offerings, and rising demand for marketplace loans. Citizens noted that these themes were highlighted at LendingClub's November Investor Day and were restated on the recent earnings call.


While both brokerages preserved favorable ratings and matching $23.00 targets, the market reaction to the quarterly report and the company's updated guidance produced notable intraday volatility. Citizens is revising its model and will weigh the management insights collected after the report as it refines its view on LendingClub's outlook.

Risks

  • Higher expenses contributed to LendingClub missing Piper Sandler and consensus estimates, a factor that could affect near-term profitability - impacts banking and fintech sectors.
  • Investor expectations around fair value marks for the loan portfolio created volatile share movements, suggesting sensitivity in valuations tied to loan-book accounting - impacts financials and credit markets.
  • Market reactions to quarterly results and guidance can drive sharp intraday price swings, posing execution risk for traders and asset managers in the financial technology space.

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