Analyst Ratings January 23, 2026

BofA Cuts McCormick's Target Price Amid Margin Challenges; Highlights Consumer Segment Strength

Bank of America adjusts price target to $80 following McCormick’s Q4 organic sales miss and margin shortfall; McKesson earnings uplift draws divergent analyst responses

By Jordan Park MKC MCK
BofA Cuts McCormick's Target Price Amid Margin Challenges; Highlights Consumer Segment Strength
MKC MCK

Bank of America Securities reduced McCormick & Company’s price target from $89 to $80 after the spice and flavor company's fourth-quarter results revealed weaker-than-expected organic sales and a gross margin decline. The adjustment reflects several factors, including inventory impacts and increased costs. Meanwhile, McKesson Corporation’s strong quarterly earnings prompted some analysts to raise price targets, although others cite cost pressures.

Key Points

  • Bank of America Securities has reduced its price target for McCormick & Company from $89 to $80, maintaining a Buy rating despite recent challenges.
  • McCormick's organic sales growth fell short due to inventory reductions by a major Mexican CPG customer affecting the Americas Flavor Solutions segment.
  • McKesson Corporation’s strong EPS performance exceeded expectations, leading to raised price targets from several analysts, though some caution remains due to revenue misses and inflationary cost pressures.

Bank of America Securities took a cautious stance on McCormick & Company (NYSE:MKC) by lowering the stock's price target to $80 from $89, although maintaining a Buy rating on the specialty spice and flavor producer. This reassessment follows McCormick’s fiscal fourth-quarter announcement, which revealed an organic sales shortfall driven principally by the Americas Flavor Solutions segment.

The organic growth miss can be attributed to inventory drawdowns by a significant Mexican consumer packaged goods client, which weighed on segment performance. Additionally, McCormick’s gross margin underperformed consensus estimates by approximately 150 basis points, highlighting margin pressure within the company’s operations.

Looking ahead, Bank of America highlighted a downward revision in fiscal year 2026 earnings per share growth projections, which came in below market expectations. The revised outlook incorporates several contributing factors: increased expenditures on enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems, elevated tax rates related to Mexico consolidation efforts, rising interest expenses, and the absence of anticipated tariff relief.

Despite these setbacks, Bank of America pointed to the Americas Consumer business as a strong growth area. The firm emphasized the scarcity of organic growth opportunities within the broader food sector, suggesting that McCormick’s consumer-facing segment could appeal to investors once current uncertainties subside.

In parallel, recent results from McKesson Corporation painted a different financial picture. The healthcare services company surpassed earnings per share expectations for fiscal second quarter 2026, reporting $9.86 versus an anticipated $9.04. However, revenues slightly lagged forecasts, reaching $103 billion against an expected $104.15 billion.

These earnings figures have sparked varied analyst reactions. Leerink Partners responded positively, raising McKesson's price target to $965 from $850 while maintaining an Outperform rating. Similarly, Evercore ISI lifted its price target to $1,000 from $825, citing growth prospects within the North American Pharmaceutical segment’s adjusted operating income. TD Cowen also reaffirmed its Buy rating with a $1,000 price target, attributing confidence to demographic trends and pharmaceutical innovation.

Conversely, Jefferies adopted a more cautious tone, lowering its price target on McKesson to $74 from $79 after the company missed fourth-quarter earnings estimates and issued a conservative guidance for 2026, influenced by inflationary pressures on costs.

These divergent analyses underscore the complexities and varying outlooks within the healthcare and consumer sectors, reflecting shifts in operational performance, fiscal planning, and macroeconomic influences.

Risks

  • McCormick faces margin pressures driven by higher ERP spending, increased tax rates from Mexico consolidation, rising interest expenses, and no anticipated tariff relief.
  • Inventory drawdowns from major clients can negatively impact McCormick’s organic sales growth and segment performance, introducing revenue volatility.
  • McKesson’s future outlook is subject to uncertainty due to cost inflation and lighter-than-expected earnings guidance, which may temper investor confidence.

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