Analyst Ratings January 29, 2026

Benchmark Maintains Hold on Landstar After Mixed Q4 Results; Insurance Costs Weigh on EPS

Landstar posts adjusted Q4 EPS in line with one analyst and above consensus, while revenue misses and discrete insurance charges curtail results

By Avery Klein LSTR
Benchmark Maintains Hold on Landstar After Mixed Q4 Results; Insurance Costs Weigh on EPS
LSTR

Benchmark reiterated a Hold rating on Landstar System (LSTR) after the company's fourth-quarter 2025 results. Adjusted EPS of $1.24 matched Benchmark's estimate and slightly exceeded the FactSet consensus of $1.22, but revenue missed expectations and discrete insurance and impairment charges reduced reported EPS. Operational trends are mixed: heavy-haul grew while truck transportation revenue was flat and BCO truck counts declined. The firm retains a strong current ratio and more cash than debt; analysts expect FY2026 EPS of $4.57 even as several have trimmed forecasts.

Key Points

  • Benchmark reiterated a Hold rating on Landstar System after Q4 2025 results; the stock trades at $151.68 and consensus analyst recommendations remain Hold.
  • Adjusted Q4 EPS of $1.24 matched Benchmarks estimate and slightly beat the FactSet consensus of $1.22, but revenue missed expectations and reported EPS was reduced by $0.49 in insurance costs and a $0.05 impairment charge.
  • Operational mix is mixed: truck transportation revenue was flat for the second straight quarter, heavy-haul revenue rose 23% year-over-year, and BCO truck counts declined about 4% year-over-year; company balance sheet shows a current ratio of 1.75 and more cash than debt.

Benchmark has kept its Hold rating on Landstar System (NASDAQ:LSTR) following the release of the companys fourth-quarter 2025 financials. The stock is trading at $151.68, and analysts continue to carry a consensus Hold recommendation with price targets implying modest downside potential.

On the profit line, Landstar reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.24 for Q4, which matched Benchmarks estimate and slightly exceeded the FactSet consensus of $1.22. While adjusted earnings came in at that level, reported results were affected by significant non-adjusted items. The company disclosed unusually high insurance costs that reduced EPS by $0.49 and recorded a $0.05 impairment charge; both items were excluded from adjusted figures.

Revenue for the quarter fell short of expectations, though the company noted stronger net revenue performance that partly offset the top-line shortfall. On a year-over-year basis, revenue declined 2.9% and adjusted EPS decreased 4.9%.

Operationally, results were mixed across Landstars business lines. Truck transportation revenue was flat year-over-year for the second straight quarter, while heavy-haul revenue stood out with a 23% year-over-year increase. The company reported a decline in its BCO (Business Capacity Owner) truck count of approximately 4% compared with the prior year and about 1% sequentially.

From a balance-sheet perspective, Landstar presented a current ratio of 1.75, indicating that liquid assets exceed short-term obligations by a comfortable margin. InvestingPro data cited by analysts shows the company trading at a price-to-earnings ratio near 39, suggesting investors are paying a premium relative to current earnings. The company also holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which provides financial flexibility amid the recent challenges.

Dividend policy remains intact: Landstar has paid dividends for 22 consecutive years and has increased its payout for six consecutive years, currently yielding 2.35%.

Management highlighted better-than-normal seasonal trends in January 2026, attributing some of the improvement to supply factors. Specifically, truck revenue per load modestly outperformed typical January patterns while truck volumes tracked in line with seasonal expectations.

Looking ahead, InvestingPro data shows that analysts expect Landstar to remain profitable for FY2026, with an EPS forecast of $4.57. That forward estimate coexists with downward revisions: seven analysts have reduced their earnings expectations recently.


In related reporting of the same quarter, Landstars fourth-quarter 2025 results were described as missing analysts expectations on a reported basis. The company posted an EPS of $0.70 for the quarter, well below the anticipated $1.22 and representing a 42.62% shortfall versus that expectation. Revenue totaled $1.17 billion, under the projected $1.19 billion.

Following the reported misses, Truist Securities lowered its price target for Landstar System from $150.00 to $145.00 while maintaining a Hold rating. The firm cited discrete insurance items as a driver of the weaker reported results and noted that underlying business fundamentals had not yet shown improvement. Despite the earnings and revenue shortfalls, the stock registered a modest uptick in aftermarket trading.

These developments underscore the current tensions in Landstars results: adjusted metrics that roughly meet expectations, offset by reported-line items and revenue pressure, set against a conservative balance-sheet position and modest dividend yield. For investors and analysts focused on transportation and logistics exposure, the data present a mix of operational bright spots and clear near-term headwinds.

For those seeking detailed models and further earnings sensitivity analysis, InvestingPro offers expanded research coverage across this and more than 1,400 U.S. equities.

Risks

  • Elevated insurance costs materially reduced reported EPS by $0.49 in Q4 2025, creating earnings volatility - this risk impacts the transportation and insurance expense profiles of logistics companies.
  • Revenue and adjusted EPS declined year-over-year (2.9% and 4.9%, respectively), indicating demand or pricing pressures that could weigh on freight-related revenues in the near term - this affects the transportation sector.
  • BCO truck counts declined roughly 4% year-over-year and truck transportation revenue has been flat for two consecutive quarters, posing operational and capacity risks for Landstars truck-based services and the wider freight market.

More from Analyst Ratings

Freedom Capital Markets Starts Coverage of Nebius Group With Buy Rating, $108 Target Feb 2, 2026 Clear Street Starts Coverage on Caribou Biosciences with Buy Rating and $13 Target Feb 2, 2026 Goldman Keeps OLN Neutral at $22 as Olin Signals Rough Q1, Cost Cuts to Cushion Results Feb 2, 2026 Aletheia Capital Starts Coverage on Teradyne With Buy Rating, $400 Target Feb 2, 2026 Needham Lifts Napco Security Price Target to $49 After Robust Q2 Results Feb 2, 2026