Analyst Ratings January 23, 2026

Benchmark Affirms Buy Rating for USA Rare Earth Amid Progress on Round Top Mine and European Expansion

USA Rare Earth advances its strategic initiatives with EPCM partnerships and plans for a European metals facility as Benchmark maintains a $15 price target reflecting future project value.

By Nina Shah USAR
Benchmark Affirms Buy Rating for USA Rare Earth Amid Progress on Round Top Mine and European Expansion
USAR

Benchmark has upheld a Buy recommendation and a $15 price target on USA Rare Earth's stock, following the company’s recent updates on its Round Top mine initiative in Texas and its expansion plans in Europe. Despite the stock trading above this price, the current valuation appears elevated relative to Benchmark's assessment. The company’s collaboration with key EPCM firms and its expected production timeline reflect ongoing progress toward commercializing heavy rare earth oxides, while expansion into France underscores a broader strategy to establish a comprehensive rare earth processing supply chain.

Key Points

  • Benchmark retains a Buy rating and $15 price target on USA Rare Earth, despite current share price at $22.71 suggesting investor optimism beyond target valuation.
  • USA Rare Earth has selected Flour and WSP as EPCM partners to advance the definitive feasibility study for the Round Top mine, aiming for production of heavy rare earth oxides by late 2028.
  • The company is expanding its operational footprint in Europe with planned metal and oxide production facilities in France, supported by government funding to build a domestic rare earth supply chain.

Benchmark Investment Research has reaffirmed its Buy rating on USA Rare Earth Inc (NASDAQ:USAR), setting a price target at $15.00 in light of the company's recent announcements concerning its Round Top mine development efforts. The target price from Benchmark closely matches InvestingPro’s valuation, despite USA Rare Earth's shares currently trading significantly higher at $22.71, which may indicate a premium valuation supported by recent investor enthusiasm following a 91.65% yearly price increase.

The company has engaged Flour Corporation and WSP Global Inc. as its Engineering, Procurement, and Construction Management (EPCM) partners to undertake a definitive feasibility study for the Round Top mine project. This collaboration seeks to refine the project’s technical and economic parameters.

Production of heavy rare earth oxides is targeted for late 2028, marking a key milestone in USA Rare Earth's expedited commercialization strategy aimed at addressing supply chain challenges for critical materials.

Benchmark’s latest analysis clarifies that the valuation for the Round Top site has not yet been incorporated into USA Rare Earth's net asset value (NAV) calculations pending conclusive outputs from the ongoing feasibility study. Notwithstanding, the firm acknowledged that prevailing prices for rare earth elements suggest substantial intrinsic value for the mine once development proceeds.

On another front, USA Rare Earth has unveiled plans to establish a metal and alloy production facility in Lacq, France, designed to deliver 3,750 metric tons annually. This facility will complement an associated oxide processing plant operated by Carester SAS, aimed at a capacity of 1,600 metric tons per year and expected to commence operations by late 2026.

The move into Europe is supported by government investment assistance, indicating strong institutional backing for constructing an integrated rare earth supply chain within the region. These initiatives form part of USA Rare Earth's broader Accelerated Mine Plan, designed to accelerate project timelines while upholding rigorous technical and operational standards.

Overall, these strategic steps position USA Rare Earth as a significant emerging player in the international rare earth sector, signaling potential benefits to sectors engaged in technology, defense, and clean energy reliant on rare earth supplies.

Risks

  • The Round Top mine's value is currently excluded from Benchmark's NAV estimate pending results from the feasibility study, indicating valuation uncertainty until more definitive project data is available.
  • The execution of planned facilities in France depends on timely development and governmental support, introducing operational and regulatory risks.
  • Market valuation exceeding Benchmark's price target suggests potential price volatility or correction if project developments or economic conditions shift unfavorably.

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