ELVR August 27, 2026

Elevra Lithium FY2026 Earnings Call - NAL Expansion Funded and Pricing Inflection Point Reached

Summarize with
ChatGPT Perplexity Claude Grok Gemini

Summary

Elevra Lithium has completed its transformative merger of Sayona Mining and Piedmont Lithium, resulting in a stronger balance sheet with $255 million in cash and a pivot to positive underlying EBITDA. The company’s flagship North American Lithium (NAL) project has moved from study to execution, with a fully funded $270 million brownfield expansion designed to boost production to 338,000 tonnes annually and lower unit costs to $628 per tonne. This structural shift is supported by a commercial reset, including a new offtake agreement with Mangrove Lithium featuring a $1,000 floor price and no ceiling, effectively ending legacy pricing caps.

Key Takeaways

  • Elevra Lithium reported $202 million in revenue for FY2026, a 39% increase year-over-year, driven by a 57% rise in average realized pricing to $1,092 per tonne.
  • The merger between Sayona Mining and Piedmont Lithium is complete, creating a larger, more robust entity with a cleaner capital structure and enhanced governance.
  • NAL production was approximately 198,000 tonnes, slightly down 3% from the prior year due to temporary mining conditions, but recovery rates improved to 71% in the final quarter.
  • The company holds $255 million in cash at year-end, with an additional CAD 65 million received from the Canada Growth Fund convertible bonds post-fiscal year close.
  • NAL’s brownfield expansion is fully funded with $270 million in capital, targeting a multi-stage approach to increase milling capacity from 4,500 to 6,500 tonnes per day.
  • The expansion aims to raise annual production capacity from ~194,000 to ~338,000 tonnes of concentrate while reducing life-of-mine average C1 costs to $628 per tonne.
  • Elevra has eliminated legacy offtake agreements with price ceilings, transitioning to a market-linked pricing strategy that allows full exposure to spot market upside.
  • A definitive offtake agreement with Mangrove Lithium includes a floor price of $1,000 per tonne with no ceiling, securing a long-term partner for future Canadian lithium chemical production.
  • FY2027 guidance anticipates production of 198,000 to 210,000 tonnes, with unit operating costs guided between $880 and $950 per tonne due to higher stripping ratios during expansion prep.
  • Total capital expenditure for FY2027 is guided at $120 million to $140 million, primarily allocated to the NAL expansion and advancing the Moblan project toward a Final Investment Decision (FID).
  • Safety performance improved significantly, with the total recordable injury frequency rate falling by 67% year-over-year, marking a major operational highlight.
  • The company is divesting non-core assets, including its stake in the Ewoyaa project in Ghana and tenements in Western Australia, to focus capital on its North American portfolio.
  • NAL’s unit operating cost per tonne sold was $853, and realized pricing has now moved above unit costs, marking a critical inflection point for margin expansion.
  • The company is transitioning its logistics from the Port of Quebec to Three Rivers Port to reduce distance and shift from containerized to bulk logistics, generating cost savings.

Full Transcript

Lacey, Conference Operator: Hello, and thank you for standing by. My name is Lacey and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Elevra Lithium Limited Fiscal Year 2026 Full Year Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker’s remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number 1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press star 1 again. Thank you. I would now like to turn the call over to Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO. Please go ahead.

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Welcome, everyone. I’m Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO at Elevra Lithium, and I’m pleased to present the Elevra Lithium Financial Year 2026 full year results. I’m joined today by Christian Cortes, Chief Financial Officer, Sylvain Collard, Chief Operating Officer and President, Canada, and Andrew Barber, Chief Development and Investor Relations Officer. Our agenda for today’s call is described on slide 2. Specifically, we will cover our operational and financial results, provide an update on our strategy and achievements during the year, provide a market update, and conclude with our financial year 2027 guidance. I’d also like to mention that unless otherwise stated, all reference to dollar amounts today are in U.S. dollars. We’ll begin by providing an overview of the full year results for FY 2026, which can be found on slide 3. Our commercial performance and financial position improved.

$2 million of revenue generated, which was an increase of 39% compared to FY 2025. We ended June with $255 million in cash, which provided us with the funds required to confidently commence execution of the NAL brownfield expansion, whilst maintaining the flexibility to advance other growth initiatives. We subsequently received a further CAD 65 million in proceeds from the convertible bonds issued to Canada Growth Fund, which were received in August. Operationally, we continue to enhance our safety programs and saw significant improvement with our total recordable injury frequency rate falling by 67%. Production of spodumene concentrate declined modestly with approximately 198,000 tons produced, but there was a clear improvement in operating performance through the second half of the year when recoveries increased to 71% in the June quarter. FY 2026 represented a significant step forward for Elevra as we completed the merger between Sayona Mining and Piedmont Lithium.

We also completed two scoping studies and determined the optimal path forward for the NAL brownfield expansion and secured the funding to move the project into execution. Now moving to slide 5 to provide more detail on our operational performance. The first area that I want to cover is safety. Whilst we still have work to do, the step change in safety performance led by Sylvain Collard and his team was a highlight in FY 2026. As I mentioned earlier, our total recordable injury frequency rate fell by 67% in continuation of the improvement seen in FY 2025. We also saw improvement across each of the reportable personal injury categories with reductions in medical aid, modified duty, and lost time injuries. Turning to NAL’s operating performance, as documented on slide 6. FY 2026 production was approximately 198,000 tonnes of spodumene concentrate, 3% below the prior year, but within our initial guidance range.

Temporary mining conditions in the first half of the year impacted ore feed characteristics, including higher iron content and lower lithium grades. Our operating team implemented a number of initiatives to mitigate those impacts by increasing mining activity to allow for greater flexibility and ore blending, while maintaining a consistently high level of mill utilization. The result was a clear improvement through the second half. Recovery increased to 71% in quarter four, the highest level achieved during FY 2026, while mill utilization remained high at 92%. While FY 2026 included some temporary mining constraints, the trajectory through the second half was encouraging and provides further confidence in the foundation we have built at NAL for continued improvement and growth. Moving to slide seven. The other major operational development during FY 2026 was the improvement in our commercial performance.

Average realized pricing increased by 57% from $694 per ton in FY 2025 to $1,092 per ton in FY 2026. That increase reflects both the stronger lithium market and the changes we have made to our legacy offtake agreements. The restructuring of those agreements has increased Elevra’s leverage to lithium prices, allowing improvements in the market to flow more directly through to realized pricing. Following the completion of deliveries under a legacy offtake contract in the June quarter, we expect FY 2027 realized pricing to be more closely aligned with supported market prices. Importantly, realized pricing has now moved above NAL’s unit operating cost on a ton sold basis, and we have entered a future supply agreement with a floor price above FY 2026 unit operating costs.

We see that as an important inflection point from both a margin and cash flow perspective that will only further improve as we deliver cost savings associated with the NAL expansion. That takes us to the next major part of the Elevra story, which is outlined on slide eight. Many of our accomplishments in FY 2026, operationally, commercially, and strategically, set the foundation for the NAL brownfield expansion. The starting point was the increase in NAL’s resource reserve base announced in August 2025. Those increases confirmed the scale and longevity of NAL and created the optionality to explore increasing future production capacity. During FY 2026, we evaluated different pathways for the expansion, including a single-stage and multi-stage approach. We ultimately determined that a multi-stage approach is the preferred pathway. The reason is straightforward. It allows us to increase production faster and reduce execution risk. The economics are also very compelling.

The initial focus during the expansion will be debottlenecking the mill to allow NAL to operate at the upper end of its existing permitted milling rate of 4,500 tonnes per day. Ultimately, we’ll expand the milling capacity to 6,500 tonnes per day, which will bring average annual spodumene concentrate production capacity from about 194,000 to approximately 338,000 tonnes of concentrate while reducing the life of mine average C1 cost to $628 per tonne. This is not just a volume growth project. It is designed to increase scale, reduce unit costs, and improve NAL’s resilience across lithium price cycles.

After completing a capital raise focused on funding the expansion, I am pleased to note that we broke ground on expansion at the end of June, and we will continue to provide updates on progress as we deliver against our near-term growth projects. Following the breakdown in trade negotiations between Canada and the U.S. late last week, and the subsequent introduction of retaliatory tariffs, we are reviewing what implications, if any, this will have on NAL’s sourcing strategy for the expansion. Given that the brownfield expansion is based upon proven and existing technology and processes, our initial indications are that alternate sourcing solutions will be available should the introduction of tariffs create cost escalation for U.S.-based sourcing. In addition, the Canadian government has announced a number of measures totaling CAD 7.5 billion to address tariff impacted industries and projects.

I will now hand over to Christian to take you through our financial performance.

Christian Cortes, Chief Financial Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thank you, Lucas, and good morning to all. There are a few items to highlight before I take you through the financial performance. The operational and financial results reported for FY 2026 include 10 months of legacy Piedmont and 12 months of Sayona following the completion of the merger at the end of August 2025. Elevra elected to change its reporting currency from Australian dollars to US dollars during the first half of FY 2026. As such, prior corresponding period amounts have been restated to US dollars for comparative purposes. The amounts shown in the presentation have been rounded to the nearest million. Moving to slide 10 to expand on the year’s operational and financial overview. As mentioned by Lucas, NAL produced approximately 188,000 dry metric tons in FY 2026, a 3% decrease compared to the prior year.

The challenges experienced during the December quarter also carried a moderate impact in operating costs for the year. Sales of spodumene concentrate totaled approximately 181,000 dry metric tons, a 13% decrease compared to FY 2025, due to the timing of shipments and transition of port operations. As a result, we ended the year with approximately 41,000 dry metric tons of inventory, which were largely shipped to customers in July. Revenue of $202 million increased by 39%, despite the reduction in shipments driven by a 57% increase in average realized pricing to $1,092 FOB per tonne sold. Unit operating cost per tonne sold of $853 FOB per dry metric ton increased modestly by 2%.

The increase in operating costs reflect elevated mining activity as we increased stripping activity to maintain access to ore and optimize our mill feed. At group level, Elevra delivered a $14 million underlying EBITDA profit compared to a prior period loss of $43 million. The significant improvement incorporates improved realized pricing, stable operating costs, and the benefit of synergies generated following the merger. The group used in operating activities of $44 million during the period, which included $3 million of cash inflows generated by NAL, largely offset by cash outflows of $25 million associated with combined merger transaction costs of Elevra and legacy Piedmont.

Cash balance at the end of the period increased to $255 million from $47 million at 30 June 2025, mainly due to the receipt of proceeds from the strategic finance packages completed in May 2026, partially offset by net cash outflows from operations and capital expenditure. An incremental CAD 46 million of cash proceeds from the issuance of the first tranche of convertible notes to Canada Growth Fund were received in August after the close of the 2026 financial year. Moving to slide 11. NAL delivered a $46 million underlying EBITDA profit compared to a $29 million loss in the prior year. Improved lithium market sentiment and the associated increase in realized pricing offset higher production costs. The improvement in pricing was aided by the elimination of NAL’s legacy offtake agreement with Piedmont Post Merger, which contained a price ceiling that limited upside.

There was also $2 million generated in synergies by NAL. Corporate expenditure of $30 million compared to $12 million in the prior year includes 10 months of legacy Piedmont costs and a $7 million loss of contract settlement associated with hedge instruments that were entered into during a period of low lithium prices. For context, the gross economic benefit from the hedging program was $12 million. The hedging program also provided valuable liquidity support and pricing certainty during the period in which spot prices were below NAL’s production costs. Following the rally in lithium prices in December last year, the hedging activity was substantially reduced. Including the $2 million of synergies at NAL, the group delivered $50 million in synergies and annualized savings are expected to be approximately $19 million.

The group reported a profit after income tax of $44 million in FY 2026, an improvement of $292 million compared to FY 2025. That result includes several non-cash items, most significantly a $156 million reversal of the NAL impairment, which was partially offset by $104 million of non-cash merger-related accounting items. Moving to slide 12. The underlying EBITDA bridge presented in this slide has been restated to include $22 million in FY 2025 EBITDA of legacy Piedmont’s standalone cost for the 10-month comparable period. After considering these adjustments, prior year’s underlying EBITDA loss of $65 million compared to underlying EBITDA of $14 million profit in the year ended 30 June 2026, making a significant improvement despite lower sales volumes, largely underpinned by stronger market prices and merger synergies realized during the 10-month period following merger completion. Turning to cash flow on slide 13.

The most important point here is a significant strengthening of our financial position following the merger and strategic financing package. We ended the financial year with $255 million of cash and a further $46 million was received from Canada Growth Fund after the year-end. With regards to NAL, whilst underlying EBITDA delivered $46 million, as referred to in slide 11, $3 million was turned into cash by 30 June 2026, largely due to outstanding sales collections of $32 million, which have been received post-balance sheet date, and increased finished product inventories of $15 million to support the port transition in June 2026. This provides the financial capacity required to execute the NAL expansion while continuing to progress Moblan, regardless of market conditions. Our capital expenditure during FY 2026 was modest at $24 million, reflecting the fact that major growth initiatives will occur in FY 2027. Moving to slide 14.

Our balance sheet is now materially stronger than it was at the beginning of the year. As we saw in the previous slide, cash increased from $47 million to $255 million. Total assets increased from $427 million to $905 million, primarily reflecting the increase in cash, the reversal of the NAL impairment taken in FY 2025, and the asset contribution of $120 million from Piedmont Lithium following the merger. The balance sheet also captures higher inventory levels at the end of FY 2026, which as I mentioned earlier, were to support the transition of port operations. Total liabilities increased from $116 million to $178 million, also due to balances contributed by Piedmont Lithium, including the incorporation of a prepayment facility. The total outstanding prepayment facility balance of $55 million at year-end has been reduced to approximately $38 million during July and August.

Overall, we believe the balance sheet provides a strong platform to support the next phase of growth for Elevra. I’ll hand back to Lucas.

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks, Christian. Let me turn to the strategic progress we made during FY 2026. On slide 16, the first significant achievement was the fundamental reset of our corporate structure, starting with the merger between Sayona Mining and Piedmont Lithium. Bringing these two companies together created a larger and more robust company by combining complementary assets and operating capabilities. The merger created more opportunities than just increased sales. After completing the merger, we reconstituted the board to enhance our corporate governance standards, expanded the management team to position Elevra to take advantage of the long-term growth opportunity in lithium and established a leaner cost base with approximately $15 million of synergies captured in the 10 months post-merger period. We also completed a share consolidation to simplify our capital structure and present shareholders with a cleaner, more unified investment opportunity.

Together, this created a stronger foundation from which to allocate capital towards the highest value opportunities across the portfolio. The second element was advancing the project pipeline with the major accomplishments outlined on slide 17. At NAL, we completed two scoping studies to evaluate increasing our production capacity. The expansion was enabled by the merger, and we immediately began to evaluate the opportunity. Our first approach established what NAL will look like in the future, a larger, lower-cost operation. We challenged ourselves to refine how we achieve that end goal, and the technical and economic outcomes of a staged approach proved a more efficient approach. Once we finalized our development approach, we moved forward with financing.

We received strong investor support from existing and new institutions, which served as validation of our growth strategy, and we were able to raise sufficient capital to fully fund all three stages of the expansion and advance development work at Moblan. We broke ground at NAL at the end of June and expect to deliver stage 1 in calendar year 2027. In FY 2026, we completed scoping and financing for the NAL expansion and moved into execution. In addition to securing funding to continue advancing Moblan, we also purchased offtake rights at Moblan. Previously, a percentage of our annual offtake rights at Moblan were committed under commercial terms, which included a discounted price. By buying those rights back, we now capture our full pro rata share of production and have control over the commercial outcomes of Elevra’s interest in Moblan. Post-year-end, we have continued to refine the portfolio.

We announced in February that we entered into a non-binding agreement to supply Mangrove Lithium with concentrate production at NAL. Last week, we finalized a definitive agreement. That agreement includes improved commercial terms for Elevra with a floor price of $1,000 SC6 and no ceiling price. We see Mangrove as an important partner for Elevra as we work together to create a Canadian supply of lithium chemicals. On the other side of the ledger, we signed an agreement to sell our interests in the Ewoyaa project, sold our rights to the Tabba Tabba tenement Western Australia, and agreed to expand the Morella Lithium joint venture by including additional Western Australian tenements that Elevra previously owned or had applications for. While we view Ewoyaa and Western Australian tenements as potential attractive development opportunities, they sit outside of our core North American focus.

We believe these actions allow us to monetize these assets and maintain our focus on opportunities which will create both immediate and long-term value for shareholders. Taken together, these strategic accomplishments tell a compelling story. In FY 2026, we rebuilt the corporate foundation, moved our flagship project from study phase into construction, and sharpened the portfolio around the assets we believe in most. This is the platform Elevra’s built on heading into FY 2027. I’d now like to provide some commentary on the market. On slide 20, you will see that spodumene concentrate prices strengthened in FY 2026, which is reflecting the demand seen in the broader lithium market. While lithium prices have proven volatile, there is robust consensus that pricing will remain strong over the coming years as demand for lithium is expected to nearly double from 2025 levels by the end of the decade.

Demand growth is not just coming from one market or channel. It is global and diversified, which should help to reduce volatility as the market continues to grow and mature. During the last cycle, electric vehicles produced and sold in China dominated demand. Now we are also seeing strong uptake in energy stationary storage applications and commercial vehicles. Battery demand is real, and lithium batteries are the leading solution. Our strategy is not based on any single demand outlook or lithium price at a single point in time. Instead, we are focused on building a business that can generate attractive returns across a range of lithium price environments. That means we will continue to focus on increasing scale and lowering unit costs. Now I’d like to turn it back over to Christian to discuss how we are thinking about our commercial strategy going forward.

Christian Cortes, Chief Financial Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks, Lucas. As you will see on slide 21, we’ve outlined three pillars to define our target commercial portfolio. Our objective is to transition from the legacy arrangements to a more diversified market link and flexible sales portfolio as we grow our production capacity. To do this, we are targeting approximately three core offtake customers, and we want these to be more than customers. We’re looking for strategic customers that offer diversification across geographies and markets and trading counterparties. The second pillar is market-based pricing. We intend to eliminate the complexity created by lagged pricing mechanisms and references to lithium chemicals are referencing spodumene concentrate prices reported by credible price reporting agencies. The third pillar is commercial flexibility. We are targeting three to five-year contract terms with a preference toward contracting incremental volumes to existing customers as we grow.

Any remaining uncontracted volumes can be sold into the spot market to maintain exposure to spot pricing when it’s attractive. Ultimately, our objective is to balance customer security while retaining exposure to market upside. With that, I will turn the call back over to Lucas to discuss our FY 2027 guidance.

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thank you, Christian. Our guidance for FY 2027 is detailed on slide 22. As we look to FY 2027, we expect spodumene concentrate production of between 198,000 and 210,000 tonnes at a 5.2% growth. Concentrate sales are expected to be between 200,000 and 230,000 tonnes, with a modest weighting towards the first half of the year based on inventory on hand at the end of June 2026. Unit operating costs sold is guided to $880-$950 per tonne sold. The increase in unit costs relative to FY 2026 is due to sustained mining intensity as we build inventory as part of the NAL expansion and continue to mine through the remainder of the historical underground workings. Lastly, total capital expenditure is expected to be $120 million-$140 million.

Most of the capital expenditure is growth capital allocated to the NAL expansion and Moblan studies, with the balance going towards sustaining capital at NAL, which is approximately $20 million. I would also like to make it clear that as part of the capital expenditure during the course of FY 2027, we will be expanding capital for stage 2. We are endeavoring to accelerate stage 2 of the expansion as well. Total capital for the project remains at $270 million U.S. Before we move to questions, I would like to close by putting FY 2026 and the outlook for FY 2027 in the context of the broader Elevra story. We believe FY 2026 has materially transformed and strengthened the company. At NAL, we have demonstrated resilient operating performance despite temporary challenges. Our safety and operational discipline have continued to improve.

Commercially, realized pricing has moved above unit operating costs, and the transition away from legacy pricing arrangements will allow us to capture more of the value from a strengthening lithium market. Financially, we have moved to positive underlying EBITDA and significantly strengthened the balance sheet. Strategically, we have moved the NAL expansion from planning into execution with the project fully funded. At the same time, Moblan provides a second major growth opportunity, and we are continuing to refine the portfolio around our North American strategy. As we look to FY 2027, our key five priorities are clear. First, safely deliver consistent operating performance at NAL. Second, safely execute the NAL expansion on schedule and within budget. Third, continue advancing Moblan toward FID. Fourth, complete the transition to a more market-linked and flexible commercial strategy. Fifth, maintain disciplined capital allocation across the business. At this time, we are happy to take questions.

Lacey, Conference Operator: At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, press star 1 on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from the line of Levi Spry with UBS. Please go ahead.

Levi Spry, Analyst, UBS: Good morning, Lucas and team. Thanks for your time. A couple of quick questions, I guess. Firstly, if we can just roll back to the realized price piece. What data points, what guidance can you give us for, I guess, how to think about FY 2027 realized prices? Then just in terms of the Mangrove contract, did you mention a floor price there? I guess hearing a bit of discussion with Pilbara putting out a $1,000 number there. What is the, I guess, the construct behind your sort of negotiations on that number, if you can help us there?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks, Levi. I will take the Mangrove question first. There is a floor at $1,000 U.S., and there is no ceiling attached to that Mangrove definitive agreement. Obviously, it is a little longer dated. It gives us an excellent platform, particularly given the benefits associated around logistics and so forth. But I can reiterate that there is a floor of $1,000 a tonne. The second component in terms of FY 2027 in relation to guidance on pricing, essentially, with those legacy agreements now in the rearview mirror for us, you should consider that we are effectively exposed to the stock market.

Levi Spry, Analyst, UBS: Okay, great. Thank you. Then just, I guess, next one is obviously just on cost. You mentioned what is going on over there in North America. How much of the stuff are you getting from across the border? How should we think about that? You got a percentage that is coming from the U.S., I guess, in terms of capital. Then just on the operating piece or the operating cost line, that looks to be a bit higher than what we have been expecting. Can you sort of just talk us through, is it all about that strip which wasn’t factored in and inflation being worse than what we thought? Or can you just sort of triangulate that a bit for us?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Yeah, thanks, Levi. I will take the second question first, again, if that is okay. The increase in unit operating cost is principally driven by the increased mining activity. As we open up phase 4 of the mine development, there is additional stripping, so it did not fit the categories of capital. So effectively, you might have seen with others that might have been as a deferred stripping allocation, effectively now unit operating cost, Levi. So essentially, the strip ratio net in FY 2027 sits at around 10 versus FY 2026 was at 9.1. So there is an uptick in that strip ratio that will obviously revert back to the life of mine average as a consequence of moving through that phase and also as we complete the mining through the underground stopes as well and we pick up that additional ore. Long story short, it is all down predominantly to the mining activity.

You will expect to see that normalize as we move through FY 2027. Then the question around sort of exposure around the tariffs and so forth. As I flagged, obviously a bit of a moving feast at the moment. Sylvain and the team are working through what implications that might have. I think there is probably a couple of things to note. What we have seen historically is that these tariffs can move quite quickly in terms of both being on or off. So we want to make sure we don’t lock ourselves into something that may well be reversed in a month or two. But simultaneously, we are also evaluating exactly what the impacts might be and what the alternate sourcing strategies might be. From an operational perspective, not a great deal of exposure. There are some consumables around reagents and so forth that may be captured, but fairly minimal.

On the capital spend, as I mentioned, the bulk of our processes and the technology that we’re using are available worldwide. So if U.S. tariffs become prohibitive in terms of sourcing out of the U.S., we will look to alternate markets. But the preliminary view is that we don’t expect it to have a significant adverse impact on the total cost of the project for NAL. As I said, we still expect to deliver all three stages on a combined basis of $270 million.

Levi Spry, Analyst, UBS: Okay, great. Just squeeze the last one in. Moblan. Can you just remind us of the next steps there on studies and de-risking? Thanks, Lucas.

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Yeah. Thanks, Levi. So Moblan, on the back of the increased resource and reserve space at NAL, sorry, at Moblan, we’re undertaking an updated scoping study to determine really two key aspects. First is what’s the right size in terms of production capacity for Moblan? The DFS previously had at 300,000 tonnes a year of concentrate. We’d suggest with a large resource base, it’ll support a lot higher production level than that. So we’ll answer that question as part of the scoping study. The other part is obviously to refresh the capital. Obviously, we’ve learned quite a bit in terms of working through NAL, so we think there’s some smarts there that we can apply. So we want to be able to build those in. Investors can expect to see that in the fourth quarter of this calendar year.

Obviously, we’ll be updating the market when that comes through. In addition to that and in parallel, obviously permitting and those sort of activities are all well and truly underway and progressing.

Levi Spry, Analyst, UBS: So December. Okay, great. Thank you, Lucas. Thanks for your time.

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks, Levi.

Lacey, Conference Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Austin Yun with Macquarie. Please go ahead.

Austin Yun, Analyst, Macquarie: Morning, Lucas, Christian, and the team. Just, yeah, a follow-up to a few of Levi’s questions, please. Just on the realized pricing, given that we’re two months into this quarter, I’m just hoping if you can provide more color on should we think the realized price will be linked to lithium carbonate or spodumene price? Would that be like a one-month lag? Would that be the right way to think about your price realization from this quarter onwards?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Yeah, Christian. Thanks, Austin. I will pass over to Christian. Obviously, Christian looks after the sales, so I will let him walk you through that in a little more detail.

Christian Cortes, Chief Financial Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Hi, Austin. Thank you for your question. The current quarter sales are all basically spodumene-linked indexes. This current shipment, which I alluded to the July shipment, we will have hopefully another one in September. Those two shipments are effectively priced as we deliver the product. That does not mean that all the volumes that we will deliver through FY 2027 will be the same. I guess the consistent message, regardless as to when the QP settles, they will all be spodumene pricing linked. None of these will have chemical pricing references to them.

Austin Yun, Analyst, Macquarie: Great. Thank you. Just on the cost front, yeah, interesting that you have a bit different treatment on the different stripping, which would usually get capitalized, looking at your peers. Just keen to understand the profile of the strip ratio that goes beyond FY 2027. Lucas mentioned that it is going to revert to the reserve average. Just if any color on how quickly that is going to happen would be helpful. Thank you.

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks, Austin. I will take the strip ratio question. In short, we are really seeing it is the peak in FY 2027, Austin, and then it will effectively run down from there. So there is a buy-in there, and we also pick up, as you will recall, will be through the underground stopes, and so we will pick up that additional ore in the Marveles pipe as well. So very much the high point, and then it runs down quite quickly thereafter.

Austin Yun, Analyst, Macquarie: Thank you. Just squeezing one more question, if I may. Really good progress at Mangrove with all those agreements and updates. Keen to understand your study pipeline in the context of the agreement. Does feel like the Carolina project is getting pushed out further. Is this the correct understanding?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Austin, we are continuing to work through the permitting for Carolina. In fact, the air permit is the last remaining permit required to have that project fully permitted. We expect that to occur within this quarter, if not early next quarter. We are continuing to advance that. As we have described previously, that project has been contemplated as a mine with a co-located chemical facility. As we have made it very clear, Elevra, our expertise is as a mining company, so we continue to engage and seeking to be able to develop a downstream partner that would build and operate that chemical facility. Obviously the likes of Mangrove probably gives an insight that we are working our way up that, Austin. Probably the key enabler for us with Carolina is finding a partner to be able to handle the downstream component.

Austin Yun, Analyst, Macquarie: That is clear. Thank you, Lucas. I will pass it on.

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks, Austin.

Lacey, Conference Operator: Your final question comes from the line of Reg Spencer with Canaccord Genuity. Please go ahead.

Reg Spencer, Analyst, Canaccord Genuity: Thanks. Morning, Lucas and Christian. I think Levi and Austin covered off on most of my questions. Just to help me out on the capital profile, it was a little bit higher than what we were expecting this year. Can you just remind me what the CapEx profile for the NAL expansion looks like over 2028 and 2029 once you have got that all finished?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Yeah. Reg, I will just come back. I will provide a couple of headline comments, and then I will pass to Christian, who will give you the respective breakdown. Just if we go back, total capital for all three stages is $270 million. That number-

Reg Spencer, Analyst, Canaccord Genuity: Yep

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: still holds. Stage 1 represented around $70 million of that $270 million. Stage 2, $60 million. And the third stage, the balance of $140 million. Essentially what you are seeing in FY 2027 is obviously we are running on stage 1. We have highlighted this previously, we are advancing work for stage 2 where we can as well. Ultimately, we want to be able to get the entire project completed as quickly as possible. So that incremental spend in FY 2027 is a combination of stage 2. So we are advancing some of that work for stage 2 into FY 2027, and also there is around $10 million associated with Moblan growth work.

Reg Spencer, Analyst, Canaccord Genuity: Got it. Okay. Yeah, that makes sense. I think I’m good. Thanks, guys. Appreciate it.

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks, Reg.

Lacey, Conference Operator: There are no more questions via the. I apologize. Andrew Harrington from Petra Capital has a question. Please go ahead.

Andrew Harrington, Analyst, Petra Capital: Thank you. Thanks for the opportunity to jump in. Yeah, most of the questions were covered. One about offtake contracts. What’s the volume? If you’re going to be producing roughly 200,000 per annum, what do you want to be under long-term contract? What’s the benefit if you’re just going to be getting spodumene prices across those offtakes as well?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks, Andrew. I think just first and foremost, obviously we’re sitting around that 200,000 tons a year mark at the moment, but you’ll see that volume incrementally ramp up quite quickly over the next 2-3 years, and we’ll be at that 340,000 tons a year concentrate. On the back of that quantum, I’ll pass to Christian, he’ll give you a sense on how we’re thinking about allocation and why we’re pursuing offtakes.

Christian Cortes, Chief Financial Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Hi, Andrew. Thank you for your question. The target is, as I outlaid on the slide where I talk about the commercial portfolio, the target is to effectively have indicatively 3 customers out of those volumes you would expect to locking around three-quarters of your production and effectively maintain an element of flexibility in which you can allocate the remaining volume to the existing offtakers or to take that to the spot market. But that being at our discretion. It’s a good question, what’s the value on offtake agreements? From our perspective, the key thing here is the counterparty. Who are you effectively selling the product to? And what level of confidence do you have that those customers will be there, not only now, but they have effectively growth plans that you can effectively grow the business with them.

As we’ve seen through the cycles, when things get tight,

If you don’t have reliable business partners, you’re then forced or having to effectively sell everything into the same spot market, which if you don’t have ultimately price protection, it can result in significant losses as we have experienced ourselves and others in previous downward cycles.

Andrew Harrington, Analyst, Petra Capital: Okay. Is there any revenue difference?

Christian Cortes, Chief Financial Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Are there any revenue differences? I would think if you are ultimately linking to spot price indexes, the answer would be no. It would be consistent to what the market is indicating. You may end up with a bi-party negotiation in which you may have different elements of pricing to what those index prices are, but we are not pursuing those. We are effectively looking for customers that are ultimately comfortable with taking what the market price indicates to be at the time of us either shipping or delivering the product, depending on what the specific arrangement looks like.

Andrew Harrington, Analyst, Petra Capital: Okay. Thank you. If I may, one last related question. How much of the material will remain in North America?

Christian Cortes, Chief Financial Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Well, that is a very good question, Andrew, and a very difficult one to answer, given that as we know today, there is only one converter or one potential customer processing material in North America. As that changes, we will obviously be actively looking at supporting those potential customers, Mangrove being one of them. The answer is today, nothing. We are not shipping anything to North America. However, we are in discussions with that party that has a facility in North America. If we are to supply in the future, I would think it would be something around 25% of the volumes, give or take.

Andrew Harrington, Analyst, Petra Capital: Okay. Well, thank you. That’s great. Thanks, Christian. Thanks, Lucas.

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks, Andrew.

Lacey, Conference Operator: I would now like to turn it to Andrew Barber for questions from the web.

Andrew Barber, Chief Development and Investor Relations Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thank you. Lucas, first question is it reasonable to think that whilst we’re working to the completion of each stage of the expansion, that there will be some incremental production as that occurs? I think we’re looking at the question of what does the ramp up look as we progress each stage?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks, Andrew. As we’ve explained previously, in short, stage 1 will deliver in the order of 15%-20% production uplift, and we expect to be complete with that mid-calendar year 2027. You can expect to see that increase in volume start flowing through in FY 2028. The reason for that is obviously it’s a brownfield expansion. We are installing and will be installing equipment during the course of the year, but ultimately we’ll be cutting that over during planned shutdown periods and so forth, that are regularly scheduled for normal operational performance. You shouldn’t expect that those things will just be drip-fed in, but rather, it’ll be at the completion of each stage that you can expect to see that improved uplift in volume.

Andrew Barber, Chief Development and Investor Relations Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Great. Thank you. Next question is, have diesel prices substantially impacted costs?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Short answer is no. Diesel accounts for around about 5% of our cost spend. Clearly it’s not insignificant, but, we’re less exposed than others, and particularly if you were to compare it with, say, some of the Australian producers where they may be reliant upon diesel generators and so forth. One of the benefits we’ve got at NAL is the fact that our power is hydro, so obviously renewable, very low carbon emissions or zero carbon emissions. But on top of that, low cost as well, so somewhat insulated from these energy shocks that other producers may be seeing.

Andrew Barber, Chief Development and Investor Relations Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thank you. Next question is, what’s the rationale for moving from the Port of Quebec to the Three Rivers Port? What are the benefits and how will this change impact costs?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks. Over to you, Christian.

Christian Cortes, Chief Financial Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Yes. The short answer is we will generate cost savings as a result of the change. Two key reasons. It is a shorter distance from NAL, and we are effectively able to move away from hauling effectively containers and moving into a bulk logistic infrastructure. The historical constraints with Three Rivers were with regards with warehousing when NAL restarted. That issue has been removed, and in fact, we have greater capacity at Three Rivers than what we had at Port Quebec.

Andrew Barber, Chief Development and Investor Relations Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thank you. Next question is on Moblan. A comment that the resource has increased substantially since the last DFS was published. How do you think that that will feed into the upcoming updated scoping study versus the prior DFS results?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks, Andrew. As I mentioned, two primary objectives for us with the Moblan updated scoping study is to revisit the annual production level and, as the question alludes to, the fact the resource base has increased appreciably. We would suggest that we support a higher level of production than was contemplated in the DFS. The DFS was at 300,000 tons a year. We would expect that to move north. The benefit of that obviously is the increased revenue associated with the increased volume, but also the ability to be able to also further reduce unit operating costs at Moblan. From all the work that we have done to date, Moblan looks like a very low-cost operation, so we are excited about the prospects there. The second component, we obviously want to revisit the capital that was provided in the DFS.

We think that there’s. Obviously, we’ve learned a few things through the NAL process, and we think there’s some areas to sharpen the pencil and improve the capital efficiency.

Andrew Barber, Chief Development and Investor Relations Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Great. Thanks, Lucas. Will that scoping study be released in the September or December quarter?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: It’ll be the December quarter.

Andrew Barber, Chief Development and Investor Relations Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thank you. The next question is, in regards to the Mangrove offtake agreement, why did we choose Mangrove and sign that agreement when they won’t take the supply for another four to five years?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Yeah, Christian, you worked independently on this one. You walk our investors through that.

Christian Cortes, Chief Financial Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Yeah. Thanks, Lucas. Lucas already touched on this earlier. We ultimately see a very attractive business partnership with Mangrove. Their focus is to effectively have a plant developed nearby NAL that would result in meaningful cost savings for both parties. The idea of ultimately supporting the build-up of the regional supply chain is to the extent that we can achieve that, it certainly fits in with what we are effectively trying to achieve here. So question around timing. Yes, the timing is a little bit long dated, and there are CPs in place for the contract to become effective.

We are not particularly exposed to whether Mangrove goes into production sooner rather than later, as we have ultimately the ability to place product with customers in the short to medium-term, as well as discussed earlier and through the slide deck, we have the ability to place product in the spot market.

Andrew Barber, Chief Development and Investor Relations Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Great. Thank you. Next question is on Ewoyaa, and the question is, are we on track to receive payment for the sale of our stake in Ewoyaa this quarter? Could you provide some additional color on the Ghanaian Ministry approval process related to this transaction?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks, Andrew. The approval process really sits with the counterparty, with Wahe Cobalt. They are engaging with the Ghanaian government. These approvals are a normal process, and they are all progressing, and we anticipate being of those conditions precedent and approvals concluding this quarter, and obviously payment will flow as a consequence of that.

Andrew Barber, Chief Development and Investor Relations Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Okay. Thank you. Next question is in regards to the Morella joint venture and the vending of four projects into that joint venture for a spend of AUD 300,000 over two years. The question is, given the modest commitment and overlapping roles of several directors, how did the independent directors determine the terms are fair to Elevra shareholders? Will the definitive agreement provide protection to Elevra if a significant discovery is made?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: I think the short answer is, obviously, the definitive agreement will provide adequate protections for Elevra shareholders. The other component of the question around independent directors, I think just for the avoidance of any doubt, James Brown and Allan Buckler did not participate in any of the discussions related to this transaction. Obviously, given the potential conflict of interest, and the board, absent Allan and James, arrived at the decision following a conventional analysis of divestment and valuation and prospectivity and so forth. As I mentioned in my opening comments for the results call, our focus is very much in North America, as evidenced by our recent decision to divest our interest in the Tabba Tabba exploration permits, which obviously was successful and a great result for shareholders.

Andrew Barber, Chief Development and Investor Relations Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks, Lucas. Last question here. Has Elevra planned for contingency that bunker fuel runs low and shipping becomes more restrictive or expensive?

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Yeah. Obviously, anyone that is moving bulk commodities via sea is exposed to movements in pricing and fuel pricing and so forth. To date, we have not seen any issues arise. Typically, as part of the sales process, shipping is organized as a consequence of that. In short, we are at no significant disadvantage other than obviously we have a longer shipping route through to China. In short, the shipping commodities effectively it is a global market, and effectively all produce is going to be exposed by and large to the same extent, albeit with some variance on distance to be sailed.

Andrew Barber, Chief Development and Investor Relations Officer, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thanks, Lucas. No further questions.

Lacey, Conference Operator: I would now like to turn it back to Lucas Dow for closing remarks.

Lucas Dow, Managing Director and CEO, Elevra Lithium Limited: Thank you for your interest in attending our presentation today. If you have any further queries, please reach out to our investor relations team. Thank you and goodbye.

Lacey, Conference Operator: This concludes today’s call. You may disconnect.